Polymarket forecasts slim 35% chance for solana etf -approval before July 31


Key dealers

  • Polymarket predicts a 35% probability of solar ETF approval by 31 July 2025.
  • Large financial institutions such as Vaneck and Grayscale continue to conduct Solana ETF applications despite regulatory challenges.

Platform platform Polymarket has reduced the odds of a solaran ETF approval before July 31reaches a low at 35%, from a peak of 76% registered on December 8.

The decline follows a period of increased regulatory review and ongoing legal challenges, including Sec’s classification of Solana (SoL) as a security in current moods.

This designation has created additional complexity to adapt solar-based products with existing regulations.

Despite the reduced probability, large financial institutions maintain their quest for Solana ETF approvals.

Vaneck, Grayscale and 21Shares have active applications in anticipation, with initial Sec -Decisions Lisers that are approaching later this month.

Vaneck’s research manager Matthew Sigel proposes that the current market odds underestimate the likelihood of approval, with reference to progress in two -party development.

The first optimism about the appointment of Paul Atkins as SEC chairman and expectations from a crypt-friendly Trump administration has been tempered by the latest delays in decision-making in the legislation.



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