Altcoin seasonal index – what the numbers show
Source: Alphractal
The AltCoin Season Index (ASI) has plunged to levels that historically indicate Bitcoin’s dominance over the broader crypto market. With only 11 out of 57 tracked Altcoins outperforming Bitcoin over the past 60 days, the index has decisively shifted into “Bitcoin Season.”
At press time, the chart showed the steep decline in Altcoin performances, contrasting with Bitcoin’s long-term hike.
Such a divergence suggests a short-term bearish outlook for altcoins. Worth noting, however, that previous ASI dips have preceded strong altcoin recoveries, raising the possibility of future opportunities.
Historical patterns and insights
Source: Alphractal
Out of 57 altcoins, only 11 have outperformed bitcoin in the last 60 days, with Xrp leads the pack with a 117.3% return, followed by GHOST with 82.0%. But a majority of altcoins have dropped, with coins like Ethics and Pepe suffering remarkable reductions.
Historically, such stark underperformance has often preceded altcoin rebounds, when market rotations shift capital back into alternative assets. In particular, large-cap altcoins such as XRP and AAVE tend to act as leaders, signaling early signs of recovery.
Rising public interest in altcoins amid market shift
Source: Alphractal
Pageviews for coins such as XRP, Ethereum and Dogecoin have also spiked significantly, correlating with periods of increased volatility in the crypto market. While Bitcoin continues to dominate public attention, Altcoins are also taking notable interest.
This trend is critical, as greater page views often signal early stages of retail engagement – a precursor to potential market inflows. Notably, spikes in curiosity tend to align with speculative phases, suggesting that altcoins may regain traction in the next growth cycle. This reinforces the narrative that despite their ongoing underperformance, Altcoins remain on investors’ radars.
Read Bitcoin’s (BTC) price prediction 2025–2026
Bitcoin dominance and impact on altcoins – What’s next?
Bitcoin’s rising dominance – over 50% – has tightened liquidity for altcoins and highlights their underperformance. Historically, such phases signal a period of consolidation for altcoins, one where capital gravitates toward Bitcoin as a safe haven asset.
This dynamic often precedes an Altcoin recovery cycle as investors eventually rotate profits back into smaller assets. However, prolonged Bitcoin dominance can stifle short-term altcoin growth, prolonging the bearish sentiment.
Going forward, Altcoin recovery will lead to Bitcoin stabilization, improved macro conditions and renewed speculative interest. While the risks remain, historical patterns suggest that Altcoins may rebound strongly as Bitcoin’s dominance begins to plateau.
