Key dealers
Stablecoin reserves and mining flows drop, signal strong spot purchases and long-term conviction. NVT/NVM conditions nail and spot volume cool down and suggest a growing risk of short-term fatigue.
Bitcoin (BTC) Continued to climb when Stablecoin reserves on exchanges hit new lows, which reflects increased market motivation and location-driven shopping moments.
BTC was priced at $ 117,913 at press time, with support that struck close to $ 111,591 based on parabolic SAR. At the same time, Exchange Stablecoins fell to its lowest level in months.
This decline signals that available StableCoin -compliance is distributed to acquire BTC, which indicates a strong investor’s demand.
Such depletion also indicates reduced purchasing power on exchanges, which may limit further up if new capital fails to enter the market.


Source: Cryptoquant
Is Bitcoin rally too fast?
Despite the ongoing rally, the spot volume bubble map reflected a cooling trend, which revealed weakening trading activity below the surface.
The declining bubble size and muted activity suggested that momentum could fade even as prices continued to climb.
This divergence raises concerns that fewer market participants actively engage in rally and increase the risk of fatigue.
Unless the volume recovers in the short term, Bitcoin’s Haussearted Momentum can begin to lose traction, open the door for lateral movement or less backbacks.


Source: Cryptoquant
Is a possible market top ahead?
Both NVT and NVM conditions have nailed Significant, up 88.21% and 25.55% respectively, which signals a sharp difference between market cases and transaction volume.
These measurement values often indicate overvaluation when they rise rapidly, as they show that the price exceeds network use.
Historically, such imbalances have preceded short -term corrections or consolidation phases.
Although the feeling remains hausse, these valuation indicators indicate that Bitcoin may enter overheated territory, and traders should prepare for a potential re-balancing of price and benefit.


Source: Cryptoquant
Why holds miners instead of selling at new heights?
Miner Position Index (MPI) has dropped by over 142%, reaching -0.70, indicating that miners drastically reduced their outflows. Thus, miners expected that prices would continue to rise.
Usually miners increase under rally; However, the current trend points to long -term conviction.
This retreat from selling supports the haus -like story, although it also gives pressure on late buyers if the market suddenly turns and miners start to be loosened again.


Source: Cryptoquant
Will the bulls retain control if the trend remains weak?
Directional indicators reflected a clear buyer dominance, with +di at 33.12 and -Di that lags at 11.73 at the press time. However, ADX was only 19.70, which signaled weak trend strength overall.
While bulls clearly control the market, the lack of strong directional power suggests that rally still lacks full conviction.
In addition, the parabolic SAR support of $ 111.6K gives a pillow, but unless the ADX starts to rise, the trend can stop.
Therefore, traders should remain cautious as the trend strength has not yet taken up the price.
Extended driving or Koldown?
Bitcoin’s rally is supported by strong investors’ demand, reduced miners and haus -like flows.
However, overvaluation signs from NVT/NVM conditions, cooling volume and weak trend strength suggest growing risk.
Unless market participation and trend momentum will be improved soon, BTC may meet consolidation.
While short -term conditions still benefit buyers, the durability of this driving depends on renewed inflows and a broader confirmation from technology.
The next few days will be crucial to determining whether Bitcoin can expand its eruption or pause for a breath.