Bitcoin’s Market Shift – does BTC give into a bear phase?


  • BTC’s market dynamics shifted dramatically and signaled potential transitions in its long -term track.
  • Cryptoquants Bull-Bear market cycle indicator pointed to a transition from a bull to a bear market at the end of 2024.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) Market dynamics shifted dramatically and signals potential transitions in its long -term track.

Analyzes revealed significant activities among long -term holders, market cycle changes and capitulation events, which offers valuable insight for crypto dealers who navigate Bitcoin’s developing landscapes.

Resurfaces the market moment

Maartuunn’s 60-day CDD indicator emphasized pronounced surveys in long-term holding activity from January to July 2024 and November 2024 to February 26.

The analysis showed sharp nails, topped at over 24 million coin days destroyed, the strongest signal since 2021.

BTC coin days destroyed

Source: Cryptoquant

In addition, these over voltages indicated increased expenses of long -term holders, who usually see Bitcoin as a store of value. Such activity often preceded market peaks or increased volatility.

The consistent increase in the past year proposed long -term holders took profits or redistributed assets, which potentially signaled sales pressure.

This pattern reflected 2021’s top, where elevated CDD levels marked a turning point.

BTC market cycles: a changing landscape

Cryptoquants Bull-Bear market cycle indicator pointed to a transition from a bull to a bear market at the end of 2024.

The indicator dipped in negative territory and reached -0.0685 on October 24, 2024, while the 365 -day variable average trends down at 0.25.

Bitcoin market cycle

Source: Cryptoquant

This divergence signaled weakening momentum and stopped potentially bull cycle. Historically, negative readings preceded bear markets, characterized by falling prices and increased sales.

The diagram’s orange and blue zones reflected this shift, with baisse -like feelings for cooling investors. This pattern was similar to the 2018 bear market, where similar decreases led to price falls.

Bitcoin mining economy’s role in price stability

Furthermore, BTC Price Vs. The hash price diagram a critical relationship that affects Bitcoin’s price track. Blue boxes marked periods where the hash price dropped to low levels, in line with Bitcoin price bottom.

BTC hash price

Source: Cryptoquant

In 2015, 2019 and 2023, these lowness signaled market troal, which indicates the current low hash price in early 2025 may indicate that Bitcoin was approaching a price base.

Despite the latest price volatility, the bull run seemed to be going on; Thus, when the hash price drops, price recycling has historically preceded.

This pattern suggested that miners met reduced profitability, but Bitcoin’s price power indicated long -term demand.

Capitulation in BTC win

Furthermore, BTC’s realized profit and loss charts captured a massive capitulation event on February 25, 2025, which marked the largest since August 2024.

Beginner investors distributed over 79,000 BTC with loss, a total of $ 1.7 billion in realized losses.

BTC realized profit and loss

Source: Cryptoquant

This nail recalled the capitulation in August 2024 after Japan’s interest rate hike, which marked a market floor and preceded a recovery to $ 100,000 in December 2024.

The diagram’s sharp decline in realized profits also suggested panic sales, but historical patterns indicated that this could signal a price floor.

Seep analysis can help recognize this rare opportunity, as such events often precede medium-term price stabilization and growth.



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